【钠瞳 Sodium Pupil】七：可复现性

七、可复现性

交付的不只是一篇文章，而是可以当场改参数重跑的东西。

产物	说明
交互演示页	一天压缩成 60 秒回放，三种策略并排对比，可切换三种天气，一键导出 CSV
仿真模型	1440 步逐分钟能量结算，光伏 / 温度 / 触发 / 事件全为参数
参数来源表	9 项关键参数标注：器件手册 / 文献区间 / 工程假设
敏感性报告	5 类扰动 × 3 种场景 × 20 次重复

最容易被质疑的三个假设——识别功耗、触发误报率、光伏输出——都可以现场改，改完立刻看到捕获率与存活时长的变化。如果改完结论翻转，我们当场承认，并写进下一版假设。

VII. Reproducibility

What we deliver is not merely an article, but something whose parameters can be changed and re-run on the spot.

Deliverable	Description
Interactive demo page	A full day compressed into a 60-second replay, three strategies side by side, three weather scenarios, one-click CSV export
Simulation model	1440 steps of minute-level energy settlement; solar, temperature, triggers and events are all parameters
Parameter provenance table	Nine key parameters graded as device datasheet, literature range, or engineering assumption
Sensitivity report	Five perturbation types × three scenarios × twenty repetitions

The three assumptions most likely to be questioned — identification power, false-trigger rate and solar output — can all be changed on site, and the effect on capture rate and survival time is visible immediately. If the conclusion flips after a change, we will admit it on the spot and record it in the next version of our assumptions.

八、结论

在离电网最远的视觉节点上，决定设备能否活过冬季的，首先是能量分配策略，其次才是电池。

而钠离子电池的价值，并不在于普遍性的替代，而在于它让策略在极端温区仍然有执行空间——冷了还能充，冷了还拿得出电，放空了不报废。

钠电负责活下来，AI 负责不浪费。

VIII. Conclusion

On the vision node furthest from the grid, what decides whether a device survives the winter is first the energy-allocation strategy, and only then the battery.

And the value of the sodium-ion battery lies not in a universal replacement, but in the fact that it gives the strategy room to operate in extreme temperature ranges — it can still charge when cold, it can still deliver power when cold, and it does not become scrap when drained.

The sodium-ion battery keeps it alive; the AI makes sure it does not waste.